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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.54+4.49vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+4.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+9.57vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.54+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.50vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.81+5.31vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-1.45vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.91-0.71vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.01-2.09vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.45+2.68vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32-4.94vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.08-1.42vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.08-2.78vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.22-4.48vs Predicted
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15Penn State University0.96-4.24vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-0.36-1.15vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.06-2.90vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.87-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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12.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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11.31Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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5.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.29Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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6.91Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.68Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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6.06Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.58Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.22Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.52George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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10.76Penn State University0.960.0%1st Place
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14.85Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
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14.1SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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15.83Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 5.3% |
| Henry Allgeier | 13.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.9% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 5.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Hale | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 22.6% | 22.6% |
| Luke Barker | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 15.9% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 18.6% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.