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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+4.73vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.91+5.64vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+2.37vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01+2.96vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+0.57vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.32+3.60vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22+2.91vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.54-2.72vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-2.82vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.32-3.76vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.08-0.45vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.81-0.36vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.06+0.94vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-1.75vs Predicted
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15Penn State University0.96-4.23vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.45-3.33vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.87-1.01vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech-0.36-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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7.64Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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6.96Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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9.6Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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9.91George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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5.28Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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6.24Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.55Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.64Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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13.94SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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10.77Penn State University0.960.0%1st Place
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12.67Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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15.99Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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14.71Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Brindley | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| Luke Barker | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 15.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 4.5% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 5.9% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 18.3% | 46.9% |
| Daniel Hale | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 18.0% | 19.9% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.