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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+4.79vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+3.67vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.54+2.42vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+5.76vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08+5.32vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+0.37vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.01+0.12vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.81+3.30vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.91-1.59vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.32-0.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.54-5.53vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.32-5.70vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-0.70vs Predicted
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14Penn State University0.96-3.44vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.45-2.48vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.86vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.87-0.95vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech-0.36-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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5.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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5.42Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.76George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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10.32Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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7.12Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.3Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.41Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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9.8Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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6.3Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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12.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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10.56Penn State University0.960.0%1st Place
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12.52Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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14.14SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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16.05Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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14.72Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Rayne Duff | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Henry Allgeier | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| Luke Barker | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 14.6% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 19.2% | 47.4% |
| Daniel Hale | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 22.3% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.