Race 11B

big-apple-classic-jesuit-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Proctor 9.8% 12.0% 8.9% 13.4% 11.4% 11.6% 13.8% 9.0% 7.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 6.9% 10.9% 9.1% 8.3% 10.6% 13.6% 12.1% 13.3% 11.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Olivia Crane 19.4% 15.6% 16.2% 13.1% 11.7% 10.6% 6.6% 4.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Nilsen 4.8% 5.8% 7.1% 8.0% 10.4% 9.7% 11.6% 15.9% 17.3% 7.7% 1.7% 0.0%
Michael Rivlin 5.3% 7.4% 6.4% 8.4% 10.6% 11.3% 10.4% 15.1% 16.4% 6.7% 2.0% 0.0%
Elliott Morrill 21.8% 17.2% 16.5% 13.5% 10.9% 7.3% 6.7% 3.8% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bates 15.0% 14.6% 13.6% 11.8% 11.2% 11.9% 9.7% 7.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 6.9% 6.2% 6.8% 8.4% 8.7% 9.0% 13.1% 13.2% 17.6% 8.3% 1.7% 0.1%
Conor Cashel 8.6% 9.1% 13.4% 12.4% 11.7% 11.0% 10.8% 11.6% 8.5% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Phillip Weigand 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 1.6% 1.4% 2.0% 2.4% 2.8% 6.4% 31.2% 30.2% 20.5%
Patrick Stege 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 3.3% 12.7% 25.3% 53.7%
Laine Meelheim 0.6% 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 4.2% 23.8% 37.4% 25.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.