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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+5.51vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.54+3.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+2.46vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.34+1.86vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.52vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-0.37vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.06+7.02vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.22+1.84vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.45+3.54vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.32-0.22vs Predicted
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11Penn State University0.96-0.11vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.08-1.25vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.91-5.69vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.81-2.95vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.01-7.92vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-3.49vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.87-0.95vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech-0.36-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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5.48Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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5.86Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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5.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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14.02SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.84George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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12.54Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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9.78Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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10.89Penn State University0.960.0%1st Place
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10.75Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.31Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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11.05Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.08Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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16.05Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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14.72Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 11.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 13.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 4.4% |
| Pierce Brindley | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Marsh | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 47.8% |
| Daniel Hale | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 23.6% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.