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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+5.53vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.34+4.16vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.47+2.67vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.91+3.38vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.54+0.30vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.54-0.63vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-1.38vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.22+1.83vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.01-2.07vs Predicted
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10Penn State University0.96+1.06vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.81+0.46vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.06+2.30vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.32-3.58vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.08-3.87vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.87+0.98vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-3.46vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-0.36-2.07vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.45-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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6.16Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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7.38Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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5.3Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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5.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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9.83George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.93Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.06Penn State University0.960.0%1st Place
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11.46Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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14.3SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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10.13Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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15.98Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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14.93Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.38Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 12.9% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Luke Barker | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 15.1% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 44.9% |
| Calvin Marsh | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 4.8% |
| Daniel Hale | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 22.4% | 24.6% |
| Eva DeCastro | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.