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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.54+4.46vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.22+8.06vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.34+2.98vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.47+1.39vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+1.20vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.08+4.31vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.96+3.77vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.54-3.83vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+2.56vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.01-3.89vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.45+0.76vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.91-5.76vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.06-0.25vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.08-4.70vs Predicted
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16Washington College-0.87-0.06vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.81-5.54vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech-0.36-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.06George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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5.98Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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6.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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10.31Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.77Penn State University0.960.0%1st Place
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5.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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5.17U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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12.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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7.11Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.76Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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7.24Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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13.75SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.3Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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15.94Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.46Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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14.65Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 11.7% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Landon Cormie | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 4.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.7% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 14.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 17.4% | 47.3% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 22.9% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.