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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.32+1.51vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.53+1.92vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+1.44vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.58+2.27vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.40-1.32vs Predicted
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6American University-0.85-1.41vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.95-0.28vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-2.24-0.67vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-1.58-2.73vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-2.60-1.83vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-2.84-2.52vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-3.77-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Drexel University0.320.3%1st Place
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3.92University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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4.44SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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6.27Virginia Tech-1.580.0%1st Place
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3.68William and Mary-0.400.2%1st Place
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4.59American University-0.850.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Delaware-1.950.0%1st Place
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7.33Penn State University-2.240.0%1st Place
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6.27Virginia Tech-1.580.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Delaware-2.600.0%1st Place
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8.48Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 32.9% | 24.6% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 14.1% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 10.8% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Cogswell | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 17.1% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 9.6% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Addie Perez | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Mac Fitzgerald | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Cogswell | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophie DeCoite | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 19.5% | 23.4% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 25.0% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 58.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.