Race 2A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Iain Shand 33.0% 24.6% 18.1% 12.1% 6.7% 4.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rose von Eckartsberg 13.0% 11.9% 15.1% 14.9% 13.8% 12.5% 10.1% 4.8% 3.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Charlotte Stillman 14.2% 17.3% 16.3% 14.6% 14.6% 11.5% 7.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Brooke Lorson 9.5% 11.7% 11.7% 14.2% 15.1% 14.9% 10.8% 7.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Bryce Cogswell 5.0% 6.4% 7.1% 9.1% 11.1% 12.4% 15.2% 15.0% 11.1% 6.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Sophie Grigg 14.0% 15.9% 16.1% 16.3% 13.1% 9.6% 8.2% 3.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Mac Fitzgerald 3.7% 3.5% 3.5% 5.0% 6.7% 10.1% 12.6% 17.5% 17.8% 13.6% 6.0% 0.0%
Bryce Cogswell 5.0% 6.4% 7.1% 9.1% 11.1% 12.4% 15.2% 15.0% 11.1% 6.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Addie Perez 3.5% 4.0% 5.9% 6.2% 9.1% 12.2% 14.5% 15.2% 15.0% 11.5% 2.9% 0.0%
Alice Kilkelly 1.5% 2.2% 2.7% 1.9% 3.7% 4.4% 6.6% 12.6% 18.7% 25.8% 19.9% 0.0%
Sophie DeCoite 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.5% 4.3% 5.9% 9.9% 15.6% 19.1% 21.8% 11.9% 0.0%
Ella Dieterlen 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 1.2% 1.8% 2.3% 4.5% 4.5% 8.0% 18.3% 57.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.