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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.40+2.79vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-2.24+5.64vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+1.53vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.32-1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.53-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.17-0.59vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-2.15+0.26vs Predicted
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8American University-1.49-2.11vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.57-2.70vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.84-1.38vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-2.15-3.74vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-3.77-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79William and Mary-0.400.1%1st Place
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7.64Penn State University-2.240.0%1st Place
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4.53SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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2.58Drexel University0.320.3%1st Place
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4.03University of Maryland-0.530.2%1st Place
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5.41University of Delaware-1.170.1%1st Place
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7.26Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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5.89American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Delaware-1.570.1%1st Place
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8.62Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
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7.26Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Stillman | 13.7% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mac Fitzgerald | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 19.2% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 11.0% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 33.0% | 23.7% | 18.1% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 15.7% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Coffill | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 29.8% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 16.8% | 60.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.