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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.58+4.69vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+1.89vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.32-0.66vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.53-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.17-0.16vs Predicted
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6American University-0.85-1.81vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.84+0.80vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-1.58-2.31vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.19-2.29vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-2.24-3.01vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-4.31-1.12vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-4.42-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Virginia Tech-1.580.0%1st Place
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3.89SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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2.34Drexel University0.320.4%1st Place
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3.71University of Maryland-0.530.2%1st Place
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4.84University of Delaware-1.170.1%1st Place
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4.19American University-0.850.1%1st Place
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7.8Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
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5.69Virginia Tech-1.580.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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6.99Penn State University-2.240.0%1st Place
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9.88William and Mary-4.310.0%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Military Academy-4.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Cogswell | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 14.1% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 36.0% | 27.2% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 15.2% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Coffill | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 12.3% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 29.3% | 17.8% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Cogswell | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Logan Devaric | 3.3% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Mac Fitzgerald | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 22.9% | 18.8% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Deas | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 32.8% | 44.3% | 0.0% |
| Kota McCann | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 10.0% | 30.9% | 47.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.