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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.58+4.72vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.32+0.26vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+1.05vs Predicted
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4American University-0.85+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.17-0.19vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.58-0.28vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.53-3.37vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.19-1.37vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-2.24-2.21vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.84-2.04vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-4.31-1.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-4.42-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Virginia Tech-1.580.0%1st Place
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2.26Drexel University0.320.4%1st Place
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4.05SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.29American University-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.81University of Delaware-1.170.1%1st Place
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5.72Virginia Tech-1.580.0%1st Place
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3.63University of Maryland-0.530.2%1st Place
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6.63University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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6.79Penn State University-2.240.0%1st Place
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7.96Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
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9.87William and Mary-4.310.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Military Academy-4.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Cogswell | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 18.4% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 39.7% | 24.6% | 17.9% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 11.8% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 10.3% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Coffill | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Cogswell | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 18.4% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 15.4% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Devaric | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Fitzgerald | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 7.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 1.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 18.4% | 28.8% | 17.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Deas | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 11.0% | 32.8% | 43.7% | 0.0% |
| Kota McCann | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 9.1% | 32.6% | 47.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.