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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.32+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.53+1.29vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+0.74vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-2.15+2.48vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.17-1.54vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.84+0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.76-0.66vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-2.15-2.52vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-2.24-3.47vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-4.42-1.15vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-4.31-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Drexel University0.320.4%1st Place
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3.29University of Maryland-0.530.2%1st Place
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3.74SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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6.48Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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5.01American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Delaware-1.170.1%1st Place
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7.47Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Delaware-2.760.0%1st Place
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6.48Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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6.53Penn State University-2.240.0%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Military Academy-4.420.0%1st Place
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9.71William and Mary-4.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 40.0% | 28.3% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 18.5% | 21.1% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 13.5% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Coffill | 8.4% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 23.6% | 14.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Myles Wommack | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 20.0% | 14.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mac Fitzgerald | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Kota McCann | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 26.4% | 48.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Deas | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 12.4% | 31.4% | 40.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.