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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.32+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.53+1.27vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-2.15+3.47vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.17-0.57vs Predicted
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6American University-1.49-0.92vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-4.31+2.63vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.76-0.59vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-2.24-2.46vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.84-2.45vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-4.42-1.19vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-2.15-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Drexel University0.320.4%1st Place
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3.27University of Maryland-0.530.2%1st Place
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6.47Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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3.67SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Delaware-1.170.1%1st Place
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5.08American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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9.63William and Mary-4.310.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Delaware-2.760.0%1st Place
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6.54Penn State University-2.240.0%1st Place
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7.55Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Military Academy-4.420.0%1st Place
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6.47Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 40.8% | 27.3% | 16.8% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 17.8% | 21.3% | 21.5% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 13.4% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 18.4% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Coffill | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Deas | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 29.4% | 42.3% | 0.0% |
| Myles Wommack | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 21.9% | 13.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Mac Fitzgerald | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 23.2% | 15.3% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Kota McCann | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 28.3% | 47.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.