Race 9A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bryce Cogswell 3.3% 6.3% 6.8% 8.5% 10.8% 14.2% 16.9% 15.8% 10.1% 6.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Sophie Grigg 14.3% 14.9% 17.0% 15.8% 14.2% 10.0% 8.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Iain Shand 31.6% 25.5% 18.8% 11.6% 6.8% 4.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brooke Lorson 10.5% 8.9% 12.8% 15.2% 16.1% 12.9% 11.0% 8.0% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Rose von Eckartsberg 11.9% 15.1% 14.0% 14.7% 12.3% 13.4% 9.9% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Charlotte Stillman 17.0% 17.5% 17.3% 15.7% 12.6% 9.0% 5.6% 3.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Mac Fitzgerald 3.9% 3.5% 3.4% 5.3% 7.3% 9.5% 11.9% 14.4% 19.7% 14.9% 6.2% 0.0%
Bryce Cogswell 3.3% 6.3% 6.8% 8.5% 10.8% 14.2% 16.9% 15.8% 10.1% 6.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Logan Devaric 3.0% 2.5% 3.4% 6.4% 8.0% 10.9% 12.9% 14.5% 16.5% 15.5% 6.4% 0.0%
Molly Carfagno 2.6% 3.5% 3.2% 3.3% 6.0% 7.0% 10.8% 16.1% 19.3% 17.4% 10.8% 0.0%
Ella Dieterlen 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 2.9% 3.7% 5.7% 8.8% 16.0% 58.6% 0.0%
Alice Kilkelly 1.2% 1.7% 2.6% 2.7% 4.4% 5.8% 8.1% 12.3% 17.1% 27.5% 16.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.