Race 10A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rose von Eckartsberg 9.3% 13.0% 14.3% 17.4% 15.5% 13.9% 8.2% 4.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Sophie Grigg 15.1% 14.8% 17.2% 16.4% 12.2% 10.5% 8.0% 3.6% 1.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Charlotte Stillman 15.4% 15.2% 17.7% 17.2% 12.9% 10.0% 7.1% 2.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Cogswell 4.2% 6.0% 7.0% 7.1% 10.6% 13.7% 15.4% 16.8% 11.3% 6.0% 1.9% 0.0%
Brooke Lorson 10.3% 13.5% 13.0% 13.6% 14.7% 11.9% 11.2% 6.8% 3.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Iain Shand 34.2% 25.2% 16.6% 10.2% 7.8% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mac Fitzgerald 3.7% 3.3% 4.0% 5.1% 6.9% 10.2% 11.7% 15.7% 18.3% 15.0% 6.1% 0.0%
Logan Devaric 3.0% 3.6% 3.2% 6.1% 8.4% 10.9% 12.4% 14.8% 16.1% 15.3% 6.2% 0.0%
Molly Carfagno 2.9% 3.2% 3.6% 3.4% 4.9% 7.8% 11.0% 16.5% 19.1% 16.9% 10.7% 0.0%
Ella Dieterlen 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 1.8% 2.4% 3.6% 5.8% 9.0% 15.8% 58.7% 0.0%
Alice Kilkelly 1.4% 1.5% 2.5% 2.7% 4.3% 5.1% 9.8% 11.7% 16.6% 28.2% 16.2% 0.0%
Bryce Cogswell 4.2% 6.0% 7.0% 7.1% 10.6% 13.7% 15.4% 16.8% 11.3% 6.0% 1.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.