Race 11A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Iain Shand 35.7% 25.6% 18.2% 10.8% 6.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Riecker 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 6.2% 9.5% 10.0% 13.3% 14.7% 15.7% 13.2% 7.1% 0.0%
Sophie Grigg 13.4% 15.6% 17.6% 18.0% 12.5% 11.7% 6.6% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Rose von Eckartsberg 11.6% 13.6% 16.1% 15.3% 16.7% 12.2% 7.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Charlotte Stillman 18.7% 19.4% 17.3% 15.3% 13.0% 8.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Mac Fitzgerald 2.1% 3.4% 4.4% 5.0% 6.1% 10.7% 14.1% 15.2% 15.2% 13.3% 10.5% 0.0%
Addie Perez 4.6% 5.2% 4.7% 8.9% 9.1% 13.7% 13.6% 14.7% 11.4% 9.4% 4.7% 0.0%
Myles Wommack 2.2% 1.6% 2.5% 3.1% 4.4% 8.4% 9.8% 11.7% 16.6% 19.1% 20.6% 0.0%
Robert Riecker 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 6.2% 9.5% 10.0% 13.3% 14.7% 15.7% 13.2% 7.1% 0.0%
Justin McDaniel 1.3% 1.7% 2.9% 2.6% 3.6% 4.1% 8.7% 10.3% 13.8% 20.4% 30.6% 0.0%
Alice Kilkelly 1.1% 2.4% 3.0% 3.7% 4.4% 5.9% 7.9% 12.0% 15.7% 18.8% 25.1% 0.0%
Hannah Arey 6.0% 8.2% 9.6% 11.1% 14.5% 12.7% 13.1% 11.5% 7.9% 4.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.