Race 12A

delaware-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sophie Grigg 13.4% 17.6% 17.9% 16.6% 13.3% 10.8% 6.9% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Riecker 3.5% 3.2% 3.8% 5.9% 9.9% 11.1% 10.9% 15.8% 15.3% 13.0% 7.6% 0.0%
Charlotte Stillman 16.2% 18.4% 18.1% 16.3% 11.9% 10.6% 4.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Iain Shand 34.3% 25.6% 17.4% 12.8% 5.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rose von Eckartsberg 14.2% 13.4% 15.5% 14.5% 15.1% 11.0% 8.9% 4.7% 2.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Addie Perez 3.5% 4.6% 5.8% 6.9% 8.4% 13.2% 15.2% 14.5% 11.5% 10.4% 6.0% 0.0%
Mac Fitzgerald 3.6% 4.5% 3.3% 6.3% 9.3% 9.8% 11.2% 16.3% 15.8% 11.2% 8.7% 0.0%
Myles Wommack 2.0% 1.8% 2.8% 2.8% 5.5% 6.3% 11.7% 10.4% 16.0% 19.5% 21.2% 0.0%
Robert Riecker 3.5% 3.2% 3.8% 5.9% 9.9% 11.1% 10.9% 15.8% 15.3% 13.0% 7.6% 0.0%
Justin McDaniel 1.6% 1.4% 2.2% 2.8% 3.9% 4.0% 9.3% 9.9% 13.8% 20.3% 30.8% 0.0%
Alice Kilkelly 1.6% 2.3% 3.3% 3.2% 4.1% 6.6% 7.2% 11.5% 15.3% 20.5% 24.4% 0.0%
Hannah Arey 6.1% 7.2% 9.9% 11.9% 13.2% 13.9% 13.2% 11.4% 8.0% 4.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.