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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.53+2.94vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.32+0.44vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+1.39vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-2.15+3.45vs Predicted
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5American University-0.85-0.49vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.40-2.36vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.95-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.76+0.34vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-2.24-1.54vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-2.15-2.55vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.94-2.26vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-2.84-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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2.44Drexel University0.320.4%1st Place
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4.39SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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7.45Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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4.51American University-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.64William and Mary-0.400.2%1st Place
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6.64University of Delaware-1.950.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Delaware-2.760.0%1st Place
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7.46Penn State University-2.240.0%1st Place
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7.45Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Military Academy-2.940.0%1st Place
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8.45Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Grigg | 12.3% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 36.0% | 24.3% | 17.7% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 10.9% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 15.8% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Addie Perez | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Myles Wommack | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 20.5% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Mac Fitzgerald | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Justin McDaniel | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 20.1% | 30.6% | 0.0% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 20.2% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.