Race 1B

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Erich Laughlin 12.7% 12.9% 14.2% 13.2% 12.8% 12.8% 11.8% 6.6% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Jared Cohen 25.4% 21.3% 17.4% 14.5% 10.0% 6.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Randle 13.2% 13.3% 12.1% 14.1% 16.6% 13.3% 10.2% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
James Cottage 13.3% 15.5% 14.1% 13.9% 14.7% 12.6% 9.3% 5.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexander Read 8.4% 9.0% 9.1% 11.1% 11.5% 14.7% 16.7% 13.3% 5.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Ernest Glukhov 17.8% 15.0% 16.4% 14.8% 13.4% 9.5% 8.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conor Farah 4.9% 8.4% 9.7% 10.4% 11.9% 15.8% 16.4% 14.8% 6.5% 1.2% 0.0%
Alexander Read 8.4% 9.0% 9.1% 11.1% 11.5% 14.7% 16.7% 13.3% 5.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Brian Polak 2.2% 2.4% 4.6% 3.4% 4.4% 7.8% 11.7% 24.8% 25.9% 12.8% 0.0%
Sebastian Bustamante 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 3.5% 4.1% 10.6% 24.8% 50.8% 0.0%
Laura Jayne 1.3% 1.1% 1.5% 3.0% 2.9% 3.4% 7.7% 14.8% 31.1% 33.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.