Race 2B

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jared Cohen 28.5% 20.6% 16.5% 12.2% 10.4% 5.9% 3.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Ernest Glukhov 14.8% 18.0% 15.3% 15.0% 12.7% 11.7% 6.5% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Conor Farah 6.7% 7.8% 9.2% 7.6% 11.0% 14.0% 20.9% 15.1% 6.4% 1.3% 0.0%
Lucas Randle 12.6% 12.2% 16.4% 15.0% 14.8% 12.0% 10.2% 5.1% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Erich Laughlin 12.3% 12.0% 12.5% 15.7% 14.0% 14.9% 9.6% 6.0% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Alexander Read 8.6% 9.5% 9.1% 11.2% 12.4% 15.1% 14.4% 13.0% 6.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Alexander Read 8.6% 9.5% 9.1% 11.2% 12.4% 15.1% 14.4% 13.0% 6.0% 0.7% 0.0%
James Cottage 11.9% 15.2% 15.1% 15.2% 14.9% 11.8% 10.1% 4.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Brian Polak 2.1% 2.7% 3.8% 4.1% 4.3% 8.3% 11.9% 24.1% 24.8% 13.9% 0.0%
Laura Jayne 1.3% 1.6% 1.2% 2.6% 2.3% 4.0% 7.1% 15.6% 32.1% 32.2% 0.0%
Sebastian Bustamante 1.2% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 3.2% 2.3% 5.4% 10.1% 24.3% 50.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.