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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.58+1.77vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-1.96+3.35vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.34+1.09vs Predicted
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4American University-1.20-0.19vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-2.49+1.27vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.03-2.50vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.88-1.89vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-2.49-1.73vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.96-1.83vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-3.56-1.79vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.95-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Maryland-0.580.3%1st Place
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5.35Drexel University-1.960.1%1st Place
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4.09Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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3.81American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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6.27Virginia Tech-2.490.0%1st Place
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3.5SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.2%1st Place
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5.11William and Mary-1.880.1%1st Place
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6.27Virginia Tech-2.490.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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8.21Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Military Academy-3.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Cohen | 30.5% | 23.8% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 13.7% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 14.6% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ververs | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 18.2% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Farah | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ververs | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Polak | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 20.1% | 22.1% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jayne | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 17.0% | 28.4% | 30.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Bustamante | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 21.8% | 49.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.