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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+1.27vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+0.65vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.67+1.40vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.73-1.45vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.69-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Penn State University1.1334.2%1st Place
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2.65Virginia Tech0.7323.6%1st Place
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4.4William and Mary-0.676.0%1st Place
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2.55Christopher Newport University0.7325.9%1st Place
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4.72American University-0.864.5%1st Place
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4.41University of Maryland-0.695.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 34.2% | 27.7% | 20.9% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Young | 23.6% | 26.0% | 24.3% | 16.1% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Julia Hudson | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 19.7% | 28.0% | 28.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 25.9% | 27.1% | 23.2% | 15.7% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Arey | 4.5% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 16.9% | 25.1% | 39.7% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 5.8% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 20.1% | 27.4% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.