Race 4B

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
James Cottage 16.5% 16.9% 15.3% 15.3% 13.0% 9.8% 7.8% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan Ververs 4.8% 4.3% 5.8% 7.1% 9.4% 12.1% 18.7% 18.7% 13.7% 5.4% 0.0%
Ernest Glukhov 17.9% 17.2% 17.0% 17.3% 13.3% 9.4% 5.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jared Cohen 27.7% 24.7% 19.6% 12.8% 7.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Farah 8.4% 9.0% 10.7% 10.7% 13.4% 16.2% 15.1% 9.5% 5.7% 1.3% 0.0%
Erich Laughlin 14.5% 13.8% 14.7% 15.2% 15.6% 12.1% 8.0% 4.2% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Ververs 4.8% 4.3% 5.8% 7.1% 9.4% 12.1% 18.7% 18.7% 13.7% 5.4% 0.0%
Alexander Pfeffer 5.5% 8.6% 9.5% 12.5% 14.9% 15.3% 15.9% 11.0% 5.1% 1.7% 0.0%
Laura Jayne 1.2% 1.5% 2.8% 2.4% 4.0% 6.0% 8.9% 15.5% 27.2% 30.5% 0.0%
Brian Polak 2.3% 3.2% 4.0% 4.4% 5.4% 10.8% 12.7% 23.3% 21.7% 12.2% 0.0%
Sebastian Bustamante 1.2% 0.8% 0.6% 2.3% 3.2% 3.6% 5.8% 11.1% 22.9% 48.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.