Race 5B

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alexander Read 8.1% 9.1% 12.0% 10.1% 11.2% 15.3% 15.0% 12.7% 5.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Lucas Randle 12.6% 14.3% 12.9% 14.6% 14.2% 13.5% 9.5% 6.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Conor Farah 6.6% 8.0% 8.2% 8.1% 11.5% 14.9% 18.2% 15.8% 7.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Jared Cohen 25.6% 20.8% 18.6% 14.9% 10.4% 4.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ernest Glukhov 16.8% 15.6% 16.2% 14.7% 14.5% 10.5% 7.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
James Cottage 15.4% 13.8% 13.1% 15.0% 12.9% 13.3% 11.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Erich Laughlin 10.6% 13.7% 13.5% 14.5% 14.0% 13.8% 11.7% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Alexander Read 8.1% 9.1% 12.0% 10.1% 11.2% 15.3% 15.0% 12.7% 5.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Laura Jayne 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 4.1% 3.4% 7.3% 15.1% 31.7% 31.8% 0.0%
Brian Polak 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 4.5% 4.8% 7.0% 12.9% 24.4% 25.1% 14.0% 0.0%
Sebastian Bustamante 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 2.4% 3.7% 3.5% 10.9% 24.2% 51.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.