Race 6B

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jared Cohen 27.2% 22.3% 16.6% 11.9% 9.3% 6.1% 4.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Read 8.1% 7.3% 10.5% 10.8% 12.9% 13.8% 16.1% 13.6% 6.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Lucas Randle 13.0% 13.8% 12.8% 15.7% 12.8% 14.8% 10.3% 5.0% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Ernest Glukhov 14.9% 16.9% 17.7% 14.2% 13.5% 10.6% 7.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Conor Farah 7.6% 8.7% 7.8% 9.1% 13.3% 13.6% 16.6% 14.2% 7.0% 2.1% 0.0%
Erich Laughlin 13.2% 11.5% 12.5% 15.0% 14.6% 13.5% 10.8% 6.3% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0%
James Cottage 12.1% 14.8% 14.9% 15.6% 14.6% 13.1% 9.2% 4.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Alexander Read 8.1% 7.3% 10.5% 10.8% 12.9% 13.8% 16.1% 13.6% 6.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Laura Jayne 0.9% 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 3.8% 7.6% 15.4% 30.8% 32.2% 0.0%
Brian Polak 1.9% 2.5% 4.4% 3.3% 3.8% 7.3% 13.2% 25.0% 25.1% 13.5% 0.0%
Sebastian Bustamante 1.1% 0.6% 0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 3.4% 4.0% 11.1% 24.6% 50.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.