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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-2.49+5.73vs Predicted
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2American University-1.20+1.88vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.58-0.14vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-1.88+1.48vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.34-0.85vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.96-0.51vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-1.03-3.60vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-3.18-0.03vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-3.23-0.83vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-3.56-1.37vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.95-1.76vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-2.49-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Virginia Tech-2.490.0%1st Place
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3.88American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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2.86University of Maryland-0.580.3%1st Place
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5.48William and Mary-1.880.1%1st Place
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4.15Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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5.49Drexel University-1.960.1%1st Place
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3.4SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.2%1st Place
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7.97University of Delaware-3.180.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Delaware-3.230.0%1st Place
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8.63Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Military Academy-3.950.0%1st Place
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6.73Virginia Tech-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Ververs | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 14.8% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 26.3% | 24.3% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Farah | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 14.1% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 20.5% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Furlong | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Kaplan | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 19.7% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jayne | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 22.0% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Bustamante | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 21.1% | 39.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ververs | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.