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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jared Cohen 31.0% 21.9% 15.0% 14.8% 8.6% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Randle 14.0% 14.6% 16.3% 15.1% 15.5% 14.3% 6.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Ernest Glukhov 17.2% 16.0% 18.2% 15.6% 14.4% 11.1% 5.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Read 6.8% 9.6% 13.4% 11.7% 17.7% 18.1% 14.2% 6.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
James Cottage 15.0% 15.9% 16.1% 15.5% 15.1% 12.6% 6.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Phillip Furlong 2.5% 2.8% 3.1% 3.1% 6.0% 8.4% 21.4% 24.7% 18.3% 9.7% 0.0%
Alexander Read 6.8% 9.6% 13.4% 11.7% 17.7% 18.1% 14.2% 6.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Erich Laughlin 11.0% 15.8% 13.3% 18.3% 14.6% 14.9% 9.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Sebastian Bustamante 0.5% 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 2.5% 5.3% 10.2% 21.3% 27.2% 27.9% 0.0%
Laura Jayne 1.4% 1.6% 2.4% 2.2% 3.6% 5.6% 15.4% 25.9% 25.7% 16.2% 0.0%
Alexander Deas 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 3.6% 8.8% 11.9% 24.7% 45.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.