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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.58+1.77vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-1.24+1.92vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.03+0.59vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.75+0.80vs Predicted
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5American University-1.20-1.20vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-3.18+1.19vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.75-2.20vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.34-3.93vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-3.95-0.73vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-3.56-2.19vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-4.31-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Maryland-0.580.3%1st Place
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3.92Drexel University-1.240.1%1st Place
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3.59SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.2%1st Place
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4.8Virginia Tech-1.750.1%1st Place
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3.8American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Delaware-3.180.0%1st Place
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4.8Virginia Tech-1.750.1%1st Place
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4.07Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Military Academy-3.950.0%1st Place
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7.81Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
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8.78William and Mary-4.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Cohen | 31.0% | 21.9% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 14.0% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 17.2% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Read | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 15.0% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Furlong | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 21.4% | 24.7% | 18.3% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Read | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 11.0% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Bustamante | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 21.3% | 27.2% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jayne | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 15.4% | 25.9% | 25.7% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Deas | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 24.7% | 45.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.