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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.58+1.78vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-1.03+1.54vs Predicted
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3American University-1.20+0.87vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.75+0.80vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.24-1.15vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-3.18+1.22vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-3.95+1.38vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-1.75-3.20vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-3.56-1.23vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-1.34-5.97vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-4.31-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78University of Maryland-0.580.3%1st Place
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3.54SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.2%1st Place
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3.87American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.8Virginia Tech-1.750.1%1st Place
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3.85Drexel University-1.240.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Delaware-3.180.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Military Academy-3.950.0%1st Place
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4.8Virginia Tech-1.750.1%1st Place
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7.77Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
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4.03Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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8.77William and Mary-4.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Cohen | 28.3% | 24.3% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 17.4% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 14.7% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Read | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 14.9% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Furlong | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 22.8% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Bustamante | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 12.2% | 20.1% | 28.4% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Read | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jayne | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 15.7% | 25.3% | 26.3% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 12.8% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Deas | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 23.2% | 45.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.