Race 11B

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
James Cottage 11.9% 15.3% 14.4% 13.3% 14.9% 11.7% 9.4% 5.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Ernest Glukhov 17.8% 16.5% 15.3% 14.2% 12.8% 9.7% 6.9% 4.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Koly 7.4% 8.7% 8.4% 11.8% 11.1% 12.0% 13.0% 13.5% 9.0% 4.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Ryan Ververs 3.4% 3.7% 4.4% 6.5% 7.4% 8.3% 10.5% 16.2% 18.1% 14.6% 6.9% 0.0%
Jared Cohen 27.6% 21.4% 17.5% 10.9% 9.4% 6.9% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Erich Laughlin 11.7% 13.7% 13.9% 13.6% 12.1% 11.6% 10.5% 6.5% 4.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Alexander Pfeffer 7.2% 7.8% 8.7% 9.6% 11.1% 11.6% 13.8% 13.3% 10.2% 5.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Conor Farah 7.5% 7.7% 10.2% 9.5% 11.6% 14.4% 12.0% 10.7% 10.8% 4.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Ryan Ververs 3.4% 3.7% 4.4% 6.5% 7.4% 8.3% 10.5% 16.2% 18.1% 14.6% 6.9% 0.0%
Deepak Ramesh 3.2% 3.8% 3.6% 5.4% 5.0% 7.4% 10.4% 14.2% 18.5% 18.8% 9.7% 0.0%
Sebastian Bustamante 0.9% 0.6% 1.2% 2.2% 1.8% 3.0% 3.5% 6.1% 10.3% 20.1% 50.3% 0.0%
Laura Jayne 1.4% 0.8% 2.4% 3.0% 2.8% 3.4% 6.4% 7.7% 13.7% 28.6% 29.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.