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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-1.03+2.94vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.58+0.98vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.34+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-2.72+3.77vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-2.49+2.04vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.96-0.01vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-2.49+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.73-2.79vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-1.88-3.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-3.95-0.35vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-3.56-1.99vs Predicted
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12American University-1.20-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.1%1st Place
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2.98University of Maryland-0.580.3%1st Place
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4.66Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Delaware-2.720.0%1st Place
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7.04Virginia Tech-2.490.0%1st Place
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5.99Drexel University-1.960.1%1st Place
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7.04Virginia Tech-2.490.0%1st Place
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5.21University of Delaware-1.730.1%1st Place
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5.65William and Mary-1.880.1%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Military Academy-3.950.0%1st Place
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9.01Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
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4.1American University-1.200.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Glukhov | 14.2% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 28.2% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Deepak Ramesh | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 20.2% | 19.4% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ververs | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 19.9% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ververs | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 19.9% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Koly | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Conor Farah | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Bustamante | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 22.5% | 50.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jayne | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 28.1% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 15.2% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.