Race 13B

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jared Cohen 26.2% 22.0% 15.4% 14.7% 10.6% 6.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Erich Laughlin 12.3% 13.5% 13.8% 14.0% 12.7% 10.5% 10.1% 7.4% 4.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
James Cottage 13.4% 11.7% 16.1% 12.3% 13.7% 11.0% 10.4% 6.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ernest Glukhov 15.1% 17.2% 13.5% 16.1% 11.3% 13.0% 5.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Benjamin Koly 9.0% 9.3% 11.0% 9.6% 11.4% 11.1% 12.7% 12.2% 8.7% 4.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Alexander Pfeffer 5.9% 7.9% 8.3% 9.0% 10.0% 12.5% 13.1% 13.4% 10.7% 7.1% 2.1% 0.0%
Ryan Ververs 4.9% 4.2% 5.4% 5.7% 8.2% 9.9% 11.1% 15.1% 16.9% 14.4% 4.2% 0.0%
Conor Farah 7.9% 7.7% 9.1% 10.7% 11.4% 11.7% 13.8% 10.5% 11.5% 4.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Ryan Ververs 4.9% 4.2% 5.4% 5.7% 8.2% 9.9% 11.1% 15.1% 16.9% 14.4% 4.2% 0.0%
Deepak Ramesh 3.3% 3.8% 4.1% 3.6% 5.5% 8.1% 10.1% 14.1% 18.4% 18.6% 10.4% 0.0%
Sebastian Bustamante 0.7% 1.3% 0.9% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 3.9% 5.6% 10.7% 18.6% 51.3% 0.0%
Laura Jayne 1.3% 1.4% 2.4% 2.3% 3.1% 3.2% 5.9% 8.9% 12.8% 29.0% 29.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.