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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+1.27vs Predicted
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2American University-0.86+2.70vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.67+1.34vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.73-1.39vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.73-2.40vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.69-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Penn State University1.1331.9%1st Place
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4.7American University-0.864.5%1st Place
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4.34William and Mary-0.676.8%1st Place
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2.61Virginia Tech0.7324.9%1st Place
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2.6Christopher Newport University0.7326.9%1st Place
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4.48University of Maryland-0.695.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 31.9% | 31.3% | 20.9% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Arey | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 17.3% | 25.2% | 38.8% |
| Julia Hudson | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 19.6% | 27.8% | 27.0% |
| Aidan Young | 24.9% | 24.1% | 26.5% | 15.8% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 26.9% | 23.3% | 24.1% | 16.4% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 20.4% | 28.3% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.