Race 2A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Edward Herman 15.2% 13.6% 13.2% 13.6% 12.4% 10.0% 9.8% 4.9% 3.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.3%
Max Teo 9.3% 11.4% 10.9% 11.0% 10.7% 10.7% 11.1% 10.7% 7.3% 5.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Marina Garrido 9.7% 8.8% 9.0% 10.3% 9.1% 10.8% 12.3% 11.4% 9.2% 6.5% 2.5% 0.4%
Lucas Escandon 2.5% 3.2% 3.3% 5.5% 5.2% 6.5% 8.1% 11.5% 14.9% 18.2% 17.3% 3.8%
Adam Strobridge 9.1% 9.5% 10.2% 11.5% 11.1% 10.5% 9.9% 10.4% 8.8% 5.3% 3.5% 0.2%
Benjamin Reeser 12.2% 12.1% 12.0% 12.7% 11.4% 12.0% 9.3% 8.6% 4.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Gavin Hudson 15.1% 16.2% 13.4% 11.5% 10.6% 10.5% 9.0% 6.8% 4.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Charles Gish 17.5% 13.8% 13.3% 11.7% 11.3% 9.8% 8.7% 6.3% 4.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Marco Welch 4.0% 4.7% 6.8% 6.9% 9.5% 8.8% 9.3% 12.2% 14.6% 14.7% 7.5% 1.0%
William Bourell 3.5% 3.6% 4.9% 3.1% 5.9% 6.4% 7.8% 9.8% 13.8% 20.4% 17.9% 2.9%
Orion Spatafora 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 2.0% 3.6% 8.3% 81.3%
Cole Abbott 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.9% 1.8% 3.6% 4.2% 6.3% 11.7% 16.4% 37.8% 9.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.