Race 3A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cole Abbott 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 2.3% 3.6% 2.9% 5.9% 6.8% 8.2% 16.8% 35.3% 12.2%
Max Teo 9.2% 10.7% 10.2% 12.7% 10.4% 12.1% 10.6% 9.4% 8.8% 4.2% 1.6% 0.1%
Gavin Hudson 14.5% 13.3% 13.9% 12.3% 10.8% 11.3% 9.8% 8.0% 3.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Charles Gish 14.8% 14.4% 15.0% 12.0% 12.5% 9.1% 7.7% 7.0% 4.6% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Edward Herman 14.5% 15.5% 14.5% 12.9% 11.2% 9.8% 8.5% 5.7% 4.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Benjamin Reeser 13.1% 12.0% 11.0% 12.7% 11.1% 11.0% 9.9% 8.5% 5.4% 4.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Lucas Escandon 3.6% 3.9% 4.8% 5.4% 5.4% 6.9% 7.7% 9.5% 15.7% 17.3% 16.5% 3.3%
Adam Strobridge 11.0% 9.9% 9.7% 9.4% 10.9% 10.4% 11.6% 10.4% 9.2% 5.1% 2.3% 0.1%
Orion Spatafora 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 1.3% 1.7% 4.0% 11.4% 78.2%
Marco Welch 5.7% 5.0% 5.5% 7.1% 7.5% 8.0% 9.6% 11.1% 14.7% 15.5% 8.7% 1.6%
Marina Garrido 8.6% 8.4% 9.1% 10.3% 11.3% 9.5% 10.8% 12.4% 9.8% 6.8% 2.8% 0.2%
William Bourell 3.2% 4.3% 3.5% 2.6% 5.0% 8.2% 7.1% 9.9% 13.8% 19.4% 18.9% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.