Race 4A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Gish 14.3% 14.8% 12.5% 13.3% 12.9% 11.3% 7.6% 6.3% 4.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Adam Strobridge 8.1% 10.7% 9.7% 11.0% 11.2% 10.9% 10.5% 11.7% 8.9% 3.9% 3.2% 0.2%
Max Teo 10.9% 9.0% 12.1% 9.6% 11.0% 11.6% 11.4% 10.2% 8.2% 4.4% 1.5% 0.1%
Benjamin Reeser 12.3% 12.8% 12.5% 11.8% 10.5% 12.5% 8.3% 9.1% 5.6% 3.0% 1.4% 0.2%
Marina Garrido 8.6% 9.3% 10.5% 10.2% 11.0% 10.1% 10.3% 10.4% 8.9% 7.1% 3.2% 0.4%
Gavin Hudson 15.9% 12.1% 13.3% 14.6% 11.5% 10.9% 7.8% 7.2% 3.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Edward Herman 16.4% 17.1% 13.6% 10.5% 10.9% 10.0% 8.8% 5.9% 3.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
William Bourell 3.2% 4.8% 3.7% 4.6% 5.6% 5.2% 8.8% 9.0% 13.8% 19.7% 17.7% 3.9%
Cole Abbott 1.3% 1.6% 2.0% 1.9% 3.3% 2.8% 6.2% 8.2% 10.7% 16.9% 36.4% 8.7%
Lucas Escandon 4.4% 3.5% 4.0% 4.1% 6.0% 5.5% 9.1% 9.2% 15.9% 18.9% 16.6% 2.8%
Marco Welch 4.3% 3.9% 5.8% 7.6% 5.9% 8.5% 10.4% 11.6% 14.6% 16.1% 9.2% 2.1%
Orion Spatafora 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.8% 3.2% 8.7% 81.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.