Race 5A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gavin Hudson 14.5% 13.5% 13.7% 12.8% 12.8% 9.2% 9.3% 6.7% 3.6% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Marco Welch 4.5% 4.5% 6.6% 6.7% 6.8% 9.2% 9.3% 11.2% 14.5% 15.5% 9.8% 1.4%
Max Teo 10.8% 9.3% 10.7% 10.7% 10.3% 12.0% 11.6% 9.8% 8.5% 4.8% 1.4% 0.1%
William Bourell 2.3% 3.1% 3.5% 4.9% 6.1% 6.7% 7.4% 11.8% 13.5% 19.1% 18.2% 3.4%
Benjamin Reeser 11.9% 13.1% 13.1% 11.1% 10.0% 10.6% 11.0% 6.9% 6.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.1%
Adam Strobridge 10.6% 8.4% 10.3% 10.9% 10.3% 11.6% 10.8% 10.7% 8.1% 5.3% 2.6% 0.4%
Charles Gish 15.0% 17.5% 12.1% 13.9% 10.3% 10.1% 7.3% 8.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Marina Garrido 10.8% 10.8% 8.6% 9.0% 11.7% 8.8% 10.0% 10.2% 10.1% 5.8% 3.4% 0.8%
Lucas Escandon 2.4% 3.5% 4.1% 5.5% 5.5% 7.9% 8.9% 10.4% 14.3% 20.2% 15.6% 1.7%
Cole Abbott 2.1% 1.7% 2.8% 2.5% 3.3% 3.5% 4.3% 6.3% 11.0% 15.5% 36.3% 10.7%
Edward Herman 14.8% 14.1% 14.0% 11.7% 12.6% 9.7% 8.7% 6.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Orion Spatafora 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.4% 1.1% 1.7% 3.3% 8.6% 81.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.