Race 6A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Benjamin Reeser 12.4% 11.0% 11.4% 11.1% 13.1% 11.8% 10.4% 8.6% 5.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.0%
Adam Strobridge 8.8% 9.4% 10.4% 10.5% 11.3% 10.9% 10.3% 11.2% 8.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.3%
Max Teo 11.0% 9.8% 11.0% 10.4% 9.8% 10.6% 12.3% 11.0% 7.9% 4.7% 1.4% 0.1%
Charles Gish 14.2% 16.0% 12.1% 15.2% 11.0% 10.3% 7.3% 7.0% 4.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Edward Herman 15.4% 14.7% 16.2% 10.6% 11.4% 10.2% 8.1% 4.9% 5.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Marina Garrido 9.1% 9.2% 8.9% 10.0% 9.4% 11.7% 12.8% 9.8% 9.4% 6.7% 2.8% 0.2%
Gavin Hudson 15.7% 14.7% 14.2% 11.9% 11.9% 8.4% 8.8% 7.0% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
William Bourell 3.0% 4.4% 3.9% 5.0% 5.3% 6.7% 8.1% 8.9% 14.3% 19.5% 17.3% 3.6%
Marco Welch 4.1% 4.9% 6.0% 7.2% 8.8% 9.2% 9.2% 14.2% 13.7% 12.7% 9.0% 1.0%
Lucas Escandon 4.0% 3.8% 4.0% 5.7% 4.2% 6.0% 7.6% 10.6% 15.3% 19.2% 16.4% 3.2%
Cole Abbott 2.0% 1.7% 1.4% 2.0% 3.5% 3.3% 4.4% 5.8% 9.3% 18.3% 37.5% 10.8%
Orion Spatafora 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 2.1% 3.1% 9.8% 80.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.