← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Max Teo 12.9% 12.2% 12.5% 12.1% 12.7% 12.1% 10.0% 7.8% 6.0% 1.7%
Adam Strobridge 11.8% 10.2% 11.6% 11.3% 13.5% 11.5% 13.4% 8.4% 6.5% 1.8%
Charles Gish 17.7% 15.8% 14.2% 15.1% 12.0% 10.5% 8.4% 3.9% 2.1% 0.3%
Marina Garrido 9.5% 12.0% 11.7% 12.2% 12.0% 12.6% 12.5% 7.9% 7.0% 2.6%
Lucas Escandon 4.5% 4.9% 6.1% 5.1% 6.9% 7.9% 8.9% 16.8% 19.2% 19.7%
Marco Welch 7.6% 5.3% 7.3% 7.5% 7.8% 11.3% 13.8% 16.4% 13.8% 9.2%
William Bourell 3.0% 3.8% 4.9% 6.1% 6.8% 8.8% 10.6% 15.3% 21.0% 19.7%
Benjamin Reeser 13.9% 16.9% 13.3% 13.9% 12.7% 11.1% 8.0% 5.9% 3.6% 0.7%
Cole Abbott 2.3% 1.9% 2.9% 3.4% 3.5% 4.5% 7.1% 12.4% 18.1% 43.9%
Gavin Hudson 16.8% 17.0% 15.5% 13.3% 12.1% 9.7% 7.3% 5.2% 2.7% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.