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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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11.41+3.63vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.33+2.86vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.80+0.87vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27+0.93vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+2.01vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.67+0.21vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.27+0.19vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.84vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.34-0.76vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.77-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.631.410.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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3.87Brown University1.800.2%1st Place
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4.93Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Vermont0.670.1%1st Place
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7.19Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
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4.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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8.24Northwestern University-0.340.0%1st Place
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3.9Northeastern University1.770.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Teo | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Adam Strobridge | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Charles Gish | 17.7% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Marina Garrido | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 19.7% |
| Marco Welch | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 9.2% |
| William Bourell | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 21.0% | 19.7% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 13.9% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Cole Abbott | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 43.9% |
| Gavin Hudson | 16.8% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.