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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.67+5.23vs Predicted
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21.41+2.67vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.29vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.77-0.15vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.27-0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.33-1.24vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.27-0.77vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.80-5.23vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-2.95vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-0.34-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23University of Vermont0.670.1%1st Place
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4.671.410.1%1st Place
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4.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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3.85Northeastern University1.770.2%1st Place
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4.91Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
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3.77Brown University1.800.2%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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8.24Northwestern University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Welch | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 9.6% |
| Max Teo | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 14.3% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Gavin Hudson | 16.6% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 11.4% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Adam Strobridge | 13.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| William Bourell | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 20.4% |
| Charles Gish | 17.2% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 21.9% | 17.3% |
| Cole Abbott | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.