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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21+3.66vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.38+4.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.49+1.03vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+0.09vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.68+0.92vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.89-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.80-1.38vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.73+1.61vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.08-1.26vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.39-1.18vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.16-3.80vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.38-3.05vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.31-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University0.380.1%1st Place
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4.03Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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4.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.2%1st Place
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5.92Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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5.34Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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9.61Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.74Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.2Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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8.95Northwestern University-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.22University of California at Los Angeles-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Riccio | 14.2% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Martin | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Julian Dahiya | 17.5% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 16.8% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Pierson Falk | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| William Roberts | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 27.9% | 8.8% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 2.1% |
| William Gear | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 5.8% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Charles Crowell | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 5.9% |
| John Flanagan | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 10.3% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.