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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+3.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.49+1.98vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21+1.67vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.89+1.47vs Predicted
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5Harvard University0.08+2.56vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.80-0.39vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.38-0.26vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.73+1.59vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.39-0.07vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.68-4.03vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.16-3.80vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.38-3.06vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.31-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.2%1st Place
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3.98Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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4.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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5.47Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
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7.56Harvard University0.080.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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6.74Roger Williams University0.380.1%1st Place
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9.59Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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7.2Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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8.94Northwestern University-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.24University of California at Los Angeles-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karya Basaraner | 17.6% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julian Dahiya | 18.0% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Riccio | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
| Pierson Falk | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Martin | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| William Roberts | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 26.5% | 9.6% |
| William Gear | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 5.5% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Charles Crowell | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 5.5% |
| John Flanagan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 11.0% | 74.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.