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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.53vs Predicted
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2Penn State University1.13+0.15vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.73-0.51vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.670.00vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.69-0.95vs Predicted
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6American University-3.08-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Virginia Tech0.7324.8%1st Place
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2.15Penn State University1.1336.0%1st Place
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2.49Christopher Newport University0.7326.3%1st Place
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4.0William and Mary-0.676.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Maryland-0.696.2%1st Place
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5.79American University-3.080.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 24.8% | 26.9% | 24.9% | 17.4% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 36.0% | 29.4% | 21.2% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 26.3% | 26.2% | 26.3% | 14.9% | 5.9% | 0.3% |
| Julia Hudson | 6.2% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 28.5% | 37.1% | 5.9% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 26.6% | 40.8% | 5.8% |
| Ella Lane | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 7.2% | 88.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.