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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+3.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21+2.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.49+0.99vs Predicted
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4Harvard University0.08+3.73vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.68+0.89vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.89-0.59vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.73+2.52vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.38-1.24vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.38-0.15vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.39-1.18vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.16-3.78vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.80-6.20vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.31-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.2%1st Place
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4.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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3.99Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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7.73Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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5.89Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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5.41Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
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9.52Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University0.380.1%1st Place
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8.85Northwestern University-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.22Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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5.8University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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12.26University of California at Los Angeles-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karya Basaraner | 17.6% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Riccio | 13.5% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Julian Dahiya | 17.2% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 1.9% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 26.8% | 9.2% |
| Ethan Martin | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Charles Crowell | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 5.2% |
| William Gear | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 6.7% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Pierson Falk | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| John Flanagan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 12.2% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.