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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.68+4.99vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21+2.62vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.80+2.75vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.39+4.90vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.49-1.08vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.89-0.62vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.16+0.32vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.38+0.80vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-4.87vs Predicted
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10Harvard University0.08-2.33vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.59-1.74vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.38-5.00vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.31-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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4.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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3.92Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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5.38Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
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7.32Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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8.8Northwestern University-0.380.0%1st Place
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4.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.2%1st Place
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7.67Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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9.26Princeton University-0.590.0%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University0.380.1%1st Place
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12.25University of California at Los Angeles-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patricia Winssinger | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Tomas Riccio | 13.6% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Pierson Falk | 7.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| William Gear | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 20.8% | 5.5% |
| Julian Dahiya | 18.9% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Richard Kalich | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 1.3% |
| Charles Crowell | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 19.3% | 4.3% |
| Karya Basaraner | 17.5% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 2.9% |
| Berkley Yiu | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 21.1% | 9.0% |
| Ethan Martin | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| John Flanagan | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 11.2% | 75.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.