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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.68+5.03vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21+2.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.49+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.80+1.70vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.89+0.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-1.96vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.38+1.69vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.08-0.34vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.16-1.51vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.38-3.21vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.39-2.26vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.59-2.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.31-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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4.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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3.96Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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5.7University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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5.42Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
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4.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.2%1st Place
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8.69Northwestern University-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.66Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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7.49Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University0.380.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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9.52Princeton University-0.590.0%1st Place
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12.26University of California at Los Angeles-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patricia Winssinger | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Tomas Riccio | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julian Dahiya | 18.1% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Pierson Falk | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 17.7% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Crowell | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 4.1% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 1.4% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 1.7% |
| Ethan Martin | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| William Gear | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 5.9% |
| Berkley Yiu | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 25.4% | 9.6% |
| John Flanagan | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 75.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.