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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.38+5.85vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+2.09vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.16+4.50vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.38+4.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21-0.38vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.49-2.06vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.39+1.68vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.68-2.02vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.08-1.29vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.89-4.52vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.80-5.49vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.59-2.51vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.31-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Roger Williams University0.380.1%1st Place
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4.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.2%1st Place
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7.5Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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8.86Northwestern University-0.380.0%1st Place
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4.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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3.94Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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5.98Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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7.71Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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5.48Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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9.49Princeton University-0.590.0%1st Place
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12.28University of California at Los Angeles-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Martin | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Karya Basaraner | 16.9% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 1.3% |
| Charles Crowell | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 5.4% |
| Tomas Riccio | 14.3% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Julian Dahiya | 18.9% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Gear | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 4.5% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 2.1% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Pierson Falk | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Berkley Yiu | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 24.6% | 9.5% |
| John Flanagan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 75.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.