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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.38+7.45vs Predicted
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2Harvard University0.08+5.22vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.39+5.38vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.38+2.70vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-0.99vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.89-0.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.68-1.44vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.16-1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.80-3.49vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.49-6.26vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Northwestern University-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.22Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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6.7Roger Williams University0.380.1%1st Place
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4.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.2%1st Place
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5.26Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
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5.56Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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6.87Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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3.74Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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4.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Crowell | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 27.2% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% |
| William Gear | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 30.9% |
| Ethan Martin | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 7.9% |
| Karya Basaraner | 17.8% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 9.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 10.4% |
| Pierson Falk | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Julian Dahiya | 20.0% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Tomas Riccio | 15.5% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.