Race 8B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Crowell 2.3% 1.9% 3.1% 3.7% 4.8% 6.7% 6.8% 8.7% 14.0% 20.8% 27.2%
Xavier Ayala Vermont 4.4% 4.2% 5.9% 6.4% 6.7% 9.0% 9.9% 11.4% 15.4% 14.0% 12.7%
William Gear 3.2% 2.6% 3.9% 3.8% 4.4% 5.2% 6.9% 9.1% 11.9% 18.1% 30.9%
Ethan Martin 5.4% 6.1% 6.4% 7.3% 6.2% 11.0% 12.5% 13.9% 11.7% 11.6% 7.9%
Karya Basaraner 17.8% 16.7% 14.5% 13.1% 11.6% 8.0% 7.0% 5.8% 3.4% 1.1% 1.0%
Charles Wilkinson 9.1% 11.5% 11.0% 10.8% 12.3% 11.4% 10.4% 8.0% 6.6% 6.6% 2.3%
Patricia Winssinger 8.9% 8.6% 9.9% 11.4% 11.5% 11.0% 9.9% 10.8% 8.8% 5.2% 4.0%
Richard Kalich 5.2% 5.6% 5.5% 7.9% 8.8% 8.2% 11.6% 11.2% 12.1% 13.5% 10.4%
Pierson Falk 8.2% 10.5% 10.4% 10.0% 11.5% 10.0% 10.9% 10.3% 9.9% 5.6% 2.7%
Julian Dahiya 20.0% 18.2% 14.4% 13.5% 10.7% 8.9% 6.5% 4.8% 1.5% 0.9% 0.6%
Tomas Riccio 15.5% 14.1% 15.0% 12.1% 11.5% 10.6% 7.6% 6.0% 4.7% 2.6% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.