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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.54vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.73+0.39vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.67+1.06vs Predicted
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4Penn State University1.13-1.86vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.69-0.92vs Predicted
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6American University-3.08-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Virginia Tech0.7323.9%1st Place
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2.39Christopher Newport University0.7328.8%1st Place
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4.06William and Mary-0.675.5%1st Place
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2.14Penn State University1.1335.8%1st Place
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4.08University of Maryland-0.695.5%1st Place
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5.79American University-3.080.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 23.9% | 26.7% | 26.6% | 17.3% | 5.2% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 28.8% | 26.6% | 26.3% | 13.9% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Julia Hudson | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 27.2% | 41.8% | 5.1% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 35.8% | 30.0% | 21.8% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 5.5% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 28.8% | 40.0% | 5.9% |
| Ella Lane | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 88.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.